2020 Projection #2




True Seeds:




Seed List:


SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DukeDaytonLouisvilleMaryland
3West VirginiaFlorida St.Seton HallAuburn
4VillanovaPenn St.OregonButler
5Michigan St.KentuckyCreightonColorado
6ArizonaLSUIowaOhio St.
7BYUHoustonTexas TechMarquette
8IllinoisRutgersMichiganSaint Mary's
9WisconsinRhode IslandArkansasNorthern Iowa
10PurdueFloridaWichita St.Oklahoma
11CincinnatiUSCXavierVirginiaIndianaArizona St.
12Utah St.East Tennessee St.Stephen F. AustinYale
13AkronVermontNorth TexasWright St.
14WinthropNew Mexico St.ColgateUC Irvine
15HofstraSouth Dakota St.MontanaArk. Little Rock
16Austin PeayNorth FloridaRobert MorrisSaint Peter'sPrairie View A&MNC Central



How it's Done:


  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Fill 5-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of AP, NET, KenPom, and Sagarin.
  • Sort 5-16 by Team Sheets.
  • Balance 8-9 to avoid possible rematches.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.


Opinion:

  • Keep local teams away from Dayton!

2020 Bracket Preview | 1st Projection



True Seeds





Seed List (Text)



1. Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga, San Diego St.



2. Duke, Dayton, Louisville, West Virginia


3. Maryland, Florida St., Seton Hall, Villanova

4. Auburn, Oregon, Butler, Michigan St.

5. Penn St., Kentucky, Arizona, Creighton

6. Colorado, LSU, Iowa, Ohio St.

7. BYU, Illinois, Houston, Marquette

8. Texas Tech, Rutgers, Stanford, Saint Mary's

9. Michigan, Arkansas, Wisconsin, Rhode Island

10. Northern Iowa, Purdue, Florida, Mississippi St.

11. Wichita St., Cincinnati, USC, Xavier, Indiana, Memphis

12. VCU, East Tennessee St., Liberty, Stephen F. Austin

13. Wright St., Vermont, North Texas, Winthrop

14. New Mexico St., Colgate, UC Irvine, Charleston

15. South Dakota St., Arkansas Little Rock, Bowling Green, Murray St.

16. Montana, Princeton, Monmouth, Robert Morris, Texas Southern, North Carolina A&T



HOW IT'S DONE:


  • Not very well.
  • Copy/Paste 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Fill 5-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of AP, NET, KenPom, and Sagarin.
  • Sort 5-16 by Team Sheets.
  • Balance 5-16 to avoid multiple teams from one conference on a seed line.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.

NOTES:

OPINION:
  • Bubble should favor teams avoiding Q3/Q4 losses.

2019 Results / Recap

343.

RANK: 106 / 195


I now have a 1-1 record against Joe Lunardi.  

Quality Wins:
Congratulations to BRACKSKETBLOGS for the top score.

See you next season.