Projection - Selection Sunday (FINAL)

DONE.

Click here for the full version.

Seed List

1. Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
2. North Carolina, Duke, Cincinnati, Michigan St.
3. Auburn, Tennessee, Purdue, Michigan
4. West Virginia, Texas Tech, Arizona, Gonzaga
5. Kentucky, Wichita St., Clemson, Ohio St.
6. Florida, Arkansas, Houston, TCU
7. Miami, Texas A&M, Seton Hall, Missouri
8. Providence, Nevada, Rhode Island, Virginia Tech
9. Florida St. Creighton, UCLA, Kansas St.
10. Butler, NC State, Texas, Alabama
11. New Mexico St., Loyola-Chicago, St. Mary's, St. Bonaventure, Oklahoma, Arizona St.
12. San Diego St., South Dakota St., Davidson, Buffalo
13. Murray St., Marshall, Coll. Charleston, UNC-Greensboro
14. Bucknell, Montana, Wright St., Iona
15. Georgia St., CS Fullerton, UMBC, Penn
16. Lipscomb, Stephen F. Austin, Radford, Texas Southern, LIU-Brooklyn, NC Central

NOTES:

• Teams in bold are automatic qualifiers.
• The Seed List has accounted for any/all potential shifts by the committee.  What you see is what you get.

OPINION:

• I really hate this shit and am glad this nightmare is over.

Projection #10-??? - 3/10 (Gameday)

Given the workload today, I've published the bracket from Google Sheets.  Click here for the full version.  This will be updated every couple of hours.




As of Saturday, 3/10 @ 12:00 p.m. EST:

Seed List

1. Virginia, Villanova, Kansas, Xavier
2. North Carolina, Duke, Cincinnati, Auburn
3. Michigan St., Tennessee, Purdue, Arizona
4. Michigan, West Virginia, Texas Tech, Wichita St
5. Gonzaga, Clemson, Kentucky, Ohio St.
6. Florida, TCU, Arkansas, Miami
7. Houston, Texas A&M, Nevada, Seton Hall
8. Rhode Island, Missouri, Providence, Virginia Tech
9. Florida St. Creighton, Kansas St., UCLA
10. NC State, Butler, Texas, Alabama
11. Oklahoma, Loyola-Chicago, St. Bonaventure, St. Mary's, Arizona St. Marquette
12. New Mexico St., Western Ky., South Dakota St., Buffalo
13. Murray St., San Diego St., Vermont, UL-Lafayette
14. Coll. Charleston, UNC Greensboro, Bucknell, Montana
15. Wright St., Iona, CS Fullerton, Penn
16. Lipscomb, Radford, LIU-Brooklyn, Nicholls St., Hampton, Ark. Pine-Bluff

NOTES:

• The Seed List is no longer "true."  Some teams have been moved up/down to match bracketing principles.
• Teams in bold are automatic qualifiers.

OPINION:

• The #1 seeds are locked.
• I believe that head-to-head match-ups and common opponents will dictate the bubble:
• Oklahoma beat USC
• USC beat MTSU
• St. Bonaventure beat Syracuse
• The RPI will keep Notre Dame and Oklahoma St. OUT.

Projection #9 - Week 18

Seed List

1. Virginia, Xavier, Villanova, Kansas
2. Duke, Auburn, Cincinnati, Michigan St.
3. North Carolina, Tennessee, Purdue, Clemson
4. Arizona, Michigan, Texas Tech, Wichita St.
5. Gonzaga, West Virginia, Ohio St., Kentucky
6. TCU, Houston, Florida, Nevada
7. Creighton, Arkansas, Florida St. Rhode Island
8. Texas A&M, Miami, Oklahoma, Seton Hall
9. Missouri, Butler, St. Mary's, NC State
10. Arizona St., Virginia Tech, Providence, St. Bonaventure
11. Syracuse, Alabama, Louisville, Marquette, USC, Texas
12. Middle Tennessee, New Mexico St., Loyola-Chicago, Buffalo
13. South Dakota St., Murray St., Vermont, UL-Lafayette
14. Wright St., UNC Greensboro, Montana, Bucknell
15. Coll. Charleston, Penn, Iona, Lipscomb
16. UC Irvine, Radford, Wagner, Nicholls St., Ark. Pine-Bluff, Bethune-Cookman

NOTES:

• Teams in bold are automatic qualifiers.
• First Four teams are not listed by "True Seed."  Regional assignment is reflective in the bracket.

OPINION:

• If there's a line to draw and separate the field, it's clearly between seeds 5 and 6.
• I believe the committee will favor a conference champion over head-to-head on some seed lines.  This currently projects to the 1 line with Xavier/Villanova.
• Head-to-head will probably be considered close to the bubble (10/11).