Projection #6 - Conference Tournaments (3/12)





Seed List
  1. Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina, Kentucky
  2. Tennessee, Duke, Michigan St., Michigan
  3. Purdue, Houston, LSU, Texas Tech
  4. Kansas, Kansas St., Marquette, Florida St.
  5. Wisconsin, Nevada, Villanova, Virginia Tech
  6. Iowa St., Maryland, Louisville, Mississippi St.
  7. Buffalo, Cincinnati, Auburn, Wofford
  8. Iowa, Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Baylor
  9. VCU, UCF, Syracuse, Washington
  10. NC State, St. John's, Minnesota, Texas
  11. Ohio St., Seton Hall, Florida, Temple, TCU, Alabama
  12. Arizona St., Utah St., Murray St., New Mexico St.
  13. Hofstra, Vermont, Yale, Liberty
  14. UC Irvine, Old Dominion, Montana, South Dakota St.
  15. N. Kentucky, Texas St., Colgate, Bradley
  16. Gardner Webb, Sam Houston St., Prairie View, Iona, F. Dickinson, Norfolk St.
THE USUAL STUFF:
  • Teams in bold are automatic qualifiers.
  • The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.
  • Rematches are avoided whenever possible.
NOTES:
  • Scrubbed Seed Lines 1 and 2 from yesterday.
    • Virginia moved to overall #1 based on favorite to win the ACC tournament.
  • Seeds 13-16 assigned primarily based on NET ranking.
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Projection #5 - End of Season / Conference Tournaments





Seed List
  1. Gonzaga, Virginia, Tennessee, North Carolina
  2. Duke, Kentucky, Michigan St., Michigan
  3. Purdue, Houston, LSU, Texas Tech
  4. Kansas, Kansas St., Marquette, Florida St.
  5. Wisconsin, Nevada, Villanova, Virginia Tech
  6. Iowa St., Maryland, Louisville, Mississippi St.
  7. Buffalo, Cincinnati, Auburn, Iowa
  8. Ole Miss, Oklahoma, Wofford, Baylor
  9. VCU, UCF, Syracuse, Washington
  10. NC State, St. John's, Minnesota, Texas
  11. Ohio St. Seton Hall, Florida, Temple, TCU, Alabama
  12. Arizona St., Utah St., Murray St., New Mexico St.
  13. Hofstra, Vermont, Yale, Liberty
  14. UC Irvine, Old Dominion, Montana, South Dakota St.
  15. N. Kentucky, Texas St., Colgate, Bradley
  16. Gardner Webb, Sam Houston St., Iona, Prairie View, F. Dickinson, Norfolk St.
THE USUAL STUFF:
  • Teams in bold are automatic qualifiers.
  • The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.
  • Rematches are avoided whenever possible.
NOTES:
  • How 'bout that template, eh?
  • Rework based on NET rankings, Q1 wins, and the "Nevada" effect.
    • Merely, where the committee placed Nevada in the reveal.  This helps to project the seeding for Buffalo, Wofford, and Washington
    • Texas/Ohio St. switched 11/10 respectively.  This avoided B1G rematches in the first round.  
    • Arizona St. avoids the First Four, but moves to 12 ahead of Utah St. due to H2H.
OPINION:
  • TCU and Alabama (last 2 in) are the only teams not considered as "safe."
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Projection #4 - Week 18 (2019)







Seed List
  1. Gonzaga, Duke, Virginia, Tennessee
  2. Kentucky, North Carolina, Michigan, Purdue
  3. Michigan St., Houston, Marquette, Kansas
  4. LSU, Kansas St., Texas Tech, Wisconsin
  5. Florida St. Iowa St. Nevada, Villanova
  6. Maryland, Louisville, Virginia Tech, Cincinnati
  7. Buffalo, Iowa, Mississippi St., Ole Miss
  8. Auburn, Baylor, Oklahoma, Wofford
  9. Syracuse, St. John's, Texas, VCU
  10. UCF, Ohio St., Washington, TCU
  11. Utah St., Florida, Arizona St., Clemson, Minnesota, Temple
  12. NC State, Alabama, Belmont, New Mexico St.
  13. Vermont, Hofstra, Yale, Old Dominion
  14. Liberty, Drake, Radford, UC Irvine
  15. Montana, Texas St., N. Kentucky, South Dakota St.
  16. Colgate, Sam Houston St., Norfolk St., F. Dickinson, Iona, Prairie View

NOTES:
  • This was done on 3/4, but uploaded late.
  • Teams in bold are projected automatic qualifiers.
  • Emphasis on "body of work," then recency bias.
  • The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.
    • The "Last Four In" were reorganized to avoid rematches from conference play.  
    • NC State and Alabama got a pass, but were moved to the 12 line.
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