Projection #7 - Week 16





Seed List
  1. Virginia, Villanova, Xavier, Kansas
  2. Auburn, Duke, Purdue, Texas Tech
  3. Michigan St., North Carolina, Cincinnati, Clemson
  4. Arizona, Tennessee, Ohio St. West Virginia
  5. Gonzaga, Rhode Island, Wichita St., Arizona St.
  6. Michigan, Oklahoma, Texas A&M, Kentucky
  7. Florida, Missouri, Houston, TCU
  8. Nevada, Alabama, Creighton, Florida St.
  9. Arkansas, UCLA, Seton Hall, Butler
  10. St. Mary's, Texas, NC State, Providence
  11. Syracuse, Kansas St., Baylor, Miami, USC, Virginia Tech
  12. Middle Tennessee, New Mexico St., South Dakota St., Buffalo
  13. Vermont, Loyola-Chicago, Murray St., East Tennessee St.
  14. UL-Lafayette, Montana, Wright St., Bucknell
  15. Coll. Charleston, Penn, Rider, FGCU
  16. UCSB, UNC-Asheville, Wagner, Nicholls St., Grambling St., Savannah St.

NOTES:
  • In comparison to the last projection, this is a complete overhaul based on "look."
  • TCU and Creighton were flexed on seed lines (7/8) to avoid early conference rematches.

OPINION:
  • Gonzaga is knocking on the door of the last #4 seed.  Winning the regular season conference should put them there.
  • The "too many losses" argument starts with the #6 seeds.  Michigan holds this spot simply because they have less harm done than others below them.
  • Compared to other teams on the bubble, USC should be safe since their non-conference record isn't below 300.  Kansas St. and Virginia Tech are... lucky(?) right now.
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