Projection #3 - Week 17 (2019)





Seed List
  1. Gonzaga, Duke, Virginia, Kentucky
  2. Tennessee, Michigan St., Michigan, North Carolina
  3. Purdue, Houston, Marquette, Kansas St.
  4. LSU, Texas Tech, Kansas, Iowa St.
  5. Nevada, Wisconsin, Maryland, Florida St.
  6. Louisville, Iowa, Villanova, Mississippi St.
  7. Virginia Tech, Cincinnati, Ole Miss, Buffalo
  8. Baylor, Auburn, Washington, Oklahoma
  9. St. John's, TCU, Texas, Syracuse
  10. Ohio St., Wofford, VCU, NC State
  11. UCF, Florida, Arizona St., Minnesota, Alabama, Seton Hall
  12. Temple, Utah St., Belmont, New Mexico St.
  13. Vermont, Hofstra, Yale, Old Dominion
  14. Liberty, Drake, Radford, UC Irvine
  15. Montana, Bucknell, Texas St., Wright St.
  16. South Dakota St., Sam Houston St., Norfolk St., St. Francis (PA), Iona, Prairie View

NOTES:
  • Teams in bold are projected automatic qualifiers.
  • The scrubbing process started from scratch in this projection.
    • Emphasis on "body of work," then conference play.
  • The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.  
    • To accomodate the first round matchups, Temple and Utah St. were placed on the 12 line.

Projection #2 - Week 16 (2019)





Seed List
  1. Duke, Tennessee, Gonzaga, Virginia
  2. Kentucky, Michigan, North Carolina, Michigan St.
  3. Purdue, Kansas, Houston, Marquette
  4. Iowa St., Nevada, Louisville, LSU
  5. Kansas St., Wisconsin, Texas Tech, Villanova
  6. Virginia Tech, Iowa, Florida St., Maryland
  7. Mississippi St., Cincinnati, Baylor, Buffalo
  8. Oklahoma, Ole Miss, St. John's, Washington
  9. TCU, Auburn, Ohio St., Syracuse
  10. Texas, Wofford, VCU, UCF
  11. Alabama, Temple, Seton Hall, Arizona St. NC State, Florida
  12. Minnesota, Belmont, Davidson, Vermont
  13. New Mexico St., Hofstra, Old Dominion, Yale
  14. Liberty, Drake, Radford, Montana
  15. UC Irvine, Bucknell, Northern Ky., Texas St.
  16. South Dakota St., Sam Houston St., Norfolk St., St. Francis (PA), Quinnipiac, Prairie View

NOTES:
  • Teams in bold are projected automatic qualifiers.
  • The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.  
    • To accomodate the first round matchups, Minnesota and Temple flipped 11/12 this week.
  • More emphasis placed on "reasonable competitive balance" along the Top 4 seed lines.
  • Seed Lines 5-16 were re-scrubbed completely.

Projection #1 - Week 15 (2019)






Seed List
  1. Tennessee, Duke, Gonzaga, Virginia
  2. Kentucky, Michigan, North Carolina, Michigan St.
  3. Purdue, Kansas, Houston, Marquette
  4. Nevada, Iowa St., Louisville, Wisconsin
  5. Texas Tech, Villanova, Virginia Tech, Kansas St.
  6. LSU, Iowa, Florida St. Mississippi St.
  7. Maryland, Cincinnati, Auburn, Baylor
  8. TCU, Buffalo, Washington, Oklahoma
  9. Ohio St., Syracuse, Ole Miss, St. John's
  10. Texas, UCF, Alabama, Wofford
  11. VCU, Minnesota, Indiana, Seton Hall, Clemson, Arizona St.
  12. Temple, Lipscomb, Davidson, Hofstra
  13. Belmont, Vermont, New Mexico St., Old Dominion
  14. Yale, Northern Ky., South Dakota St., Loyola-Chicago
  15. Montana, Radford, Bucknell, UC Irvine
  16. Texas St., Sam Houston St., Monmouth, St. Francis (PA), Norfolk St., Praire View A&M

NOTES:
  • Teams in bold are projected automatic qualifiers.
  • The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.  
    • Temple avoids the First Four and moves to the 12 line from a H2H loss against VCU.
  • After the Top 16 teams are set, I assign the highest 5 seed to match with the lowest 4 seed, then work clockwise.  The next seed line progresses counter-clockwise, then loops until completion.
  • Possible rematches are avoided when placing teams into the bracket.