Seed List
- Virginia, North Carolina, Kentucky, Gonzaga
- Tennessee, Duke, Michigan St., Michigan
- Houston, Purdue, LSU, Texas Tech
- Kansas, Florida St., Kansas St., Wisconsin
- Marquette, Virginia Tech, Iowa St., Villanova
- Maryland, Mississippi St., Louisville, Buffalo
- Nevada, Auburn, Cincinnati, Wofford
- Iowa, Ole Miss, UCF, VCU
- Syracuse, Baylor, Minnesota, Washington
- Oklahoma, Seton Hall, Temple, Utah St.
- TCU, Florida, Ohio St., St. John's, Texas, NC State
- St. Mary's, Murray St., New Mexico St., Davidson
- Vermont, Northeastern, Yale, Liberty
- UC Irvine, Old Dominion, Montana, N. Kentucky
- Texas St., Colgate, Bradley, Gardner Webb
- Sam Houston St., North Dakota St., Prairie View, Iona, F. Dickinson, Norfolk St.
THE USUAL STUFF:
- Teams in bold are automatic qualifiers.
- The Seed List is accounting for any/all potential shifts by the committee.
- Rematches are avoided whenever possible.
NOTES:
- Recency bias factored in for team movement.
- Bubble teams (re)analyzed by lack of bad losses, best wins, then common opponents.
OPINION:
- St. John's, Texas, and NC State should be worried, if not already.
- OUT:
- Alabama - beating UK once isn't enough to offset a loss to Georgia St.
- Arizona St. - weak conference schedule and loss to Princeton
- Belmont, Furman, and UNC Greensboro have resumes comparable to 12 seeds.
- True Seeds will be flexed up/down on lines 5-8 to accommodate regional match-ups.
- I foresee Louisville being impacted because they cannot play in the South.