Prediction #2 - Sunday, 2/21

  





True Seeds





Seed List (Text)

  1. Gonzaga, Baylor, Michigan, Ohio State
  2. Villanova, Houston, Illinois, Alabama
  3. Oklahoma, West Virginia, Tennessee, Virginia
  4. Texas Tech, Iowa, Missouri, Texas
  5. Florida St., USC, Wisconsin, Creighton
  6. Virginia Tech, Arkansas, Purdue, Kansas
  7. Colorado, Florida, Rutgers, LSU
  8. Clemson, Loyola-Chicago, BYU, San Diego St.
  9. UCLA, Louisville, Oregon, Oklahoma St.
  10. Xavier, Boise St., Seton Hall, Minnesota
  11. Drake, VCU, St. Bonaventure, Syracuse, Colorado St., North Carolina
  12. Indiana, Connecticut, Belmont, Western Ky.
  13. Toledo, Winthrop, Colgate, UC Santa Barbara
  14. Wright St., UNC Greensboro, Liberty, Abilene Christian
  15. Vermont, Grand Canyon, Siena, South Dakota St.
  16. Eastern Washington, James Madison, Bryant, Texas St., Norfolk St., Prairie View A&M


HOW IT'S DONE:


  • Not very well.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Review results from 2/13 - 2/20.
  • Move teams up/down along the seed line from last week.
    • 3 wins or 2 losses is considered high yield up/down respectively.
    • Inactive teams are used as a placeholder.  2 wins by the next lower result in a switch, then seed line adjustment.
    • Re-evaluate teams placed significantly different from the Matrix.
      • Clemson, Maryland, North Carolina, Oklahoma St.
  • Fill 1-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of APNET, and KenPom.
    • 13-16 are primarily based on NET rankings.

NOTES:
  • Bracket fill-in is auto-generated by the S-curve.
    • Teams are moved along the same seed line to avoid an opening round rematch.
  • For simplicity, First Four teams are placed on the 11 line.