2020 Projection - 3/8

SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1KansasGonzagaBaylorDayton
2San Diego St.Florida St.VillanovaMaryland
3DukeCreightonLouisvilleSeton Hall
4KentuckyOregonMichigan St.Ohio St.
5Penn St.AuburnWisconsinButler
6IowaColoradoBYUMichigan
7West VirginiaIllinoisVirginiaArizona
8HoustonMarquetteLSUSaint Mary's
9FloridaIndianaArizona St.Oklahoma
10USCRutgersTexas TechStanford
11XavierUtah St.ProvidenceWichita St.RichmondNC State
12East Tennessee St.LibertyYaleStephen F. Austin
13VermontAkronNorth TexasBelmont
14New Mexico St.BradleyUC IrvineColgate
15Wright St.South Daktota St.E. WashingtonArk. Little Rock
16SienaWinthropWilliam & MarySt. Francis (PA)Prairie View A&MNC A&T


How it's Done:


  • Note 1-4 seeds from the Bracket Preview.
  • Re-evaluation of 1-11 by Team Sheets.
    • Emphasis on Q1 wins and SOS.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
    • Conference tournaments take precedent.
  • Bubble tiebreaker determined by Q3/Q4 losses.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Re-align "like" teams to a seed line, if possible.

First Four Out:
  • Cincinnati, Texas, Memphis, Northern Iowa

Notes:

  • Only the Seed List will be (continuously) posted until Selection Sunday.  
  • If you want to manually "preview" the bracket, do as follows:
    1. Assign each section of the bracket by a Quadrant Number (1, 2, 3, 4)
    2. Slot each 1 seed by the Seed List matching the QN
    3. Slot the top 2 seed into QN 2
    4. Slot each remaining 2 seed into 1-3-4 respectively

2020 Projection #5

SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1KansasBaylorGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DaytonFlorida St.Seton HallVillanova
3MarylandDukeLouisvilleCreighton
4KentuckyOregonAuburnMichigan St.
5Ohio St.Penn St.IowaButler
6ColoradoBYUMichiganWisconsin
7West VirginiaArizonaIllinoisHouston
8MarquetteVirginiaLSUSaint Mary's
9FloridaIndianaArizona St.Texas Tech
10OklahomaRutgersUSCStanford
11XavierUCLAProvidenceWichita St.Utah St.Richmond
12East Tennessee St.LibertyYaleStephen F. Austin
13VermontNorth TexasBelmontNew Mexico St.
14BradleyUC IrvineWright St.Colgate
15Bowling GreenHofstraSouth Daktota St.E. Washington
16Ark. Little RockSienaWinthropSt. Francis (PA)Prairie View A&MNC A&T


How it's Done:


  • Note 1 seeds from the Bracket Preview.
  • Re-evaluation of 2-11 by Team Sheets.
    • Emphasis on Q1 wins and SOS.
  • Bubble consideration for teams with a NET ranking above 70.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
    • Conference tournaments take precedent.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
First Four Out:

  • Cincinnati, NC State, Texas, Arkansas

Notes:

  • Only the Seed List will be (continuously) posted until Selection Sunday.  
  • If you want to manually "preview" the bracket, do as follows:
    1. Assign each section of the bracket by a Quadrant Number (1, 2, 3, 4)
    2. Slot each 1 seed by the Seed List matching the QN
    3. Slot the top 2 seed into QN 2
    4. Slot each remaining 2 seed into 1-3-4 respectively

2020 Projection #4



Seed List:


SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DaytonDukeFlorida St.Maryland
3LouisvilleSeton HallKentuckyVillanova
4AuburnOregonCreightonPenn St.
5West VirginiaMichigan St.ColoradoButler
6IowaOhio St.HoustonArizona
7BYUMarquetteMichiganLSU
8Texas TechIllinoisWisconsinSaint Mary's
9FloridaRutgersWichita St.Arizona St.
10Rhode IslandXavierUtah St.Virginia
11USCIndianaRichmondCincinnatiOklahomaStanford
12East Tennessee St.Northern IowaLibertyYale
13Stephen F. AustinVermontNorth TexasBelmont
14UC IrvineWright St.New Mexico St.Colgate
15Bowling GreenHofstraSouth Daktota St.E. Washington
16Ark. Little RockSienaRadfordSt. Francis (PA)Prairie View A&MNC A&T


How it's Done:

  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • Re-evaluation of 5-11 by Team Sheets.
  • Bubble consideration for teams with a NET ranking above 65.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Balance the bracket on the "point system" assigned to 1-4.
  • Place remaining teams by top-left, top-right, bottom-left, bottom-right, then snake.
  • Re-assign teams to other regions if a rematch would occur.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.

Opinion:

  • First Four Out: Arkansas, Providence, NC State, UCLA