2020 Projection #4



Seed List:


SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DaytonDukeFlorida St.Maryland
3LouisvilleSeton HallKentuckyVillanova
4AuburnOregonCreightonPenn St.
5West VirginiaMichigan St.ColoradoButler
6IowaOhio St.HoustonArizona
7BYUMarquetteMichiganLSU
8Texas TechIllinoisWisconsinSaint Mary's
9FloridaRutgersWichita St.Arizona St.
10Rhode IslandXavierUtah St.Virginia
11USCIndianaRichmondCincinnatiOklahomaStanford
12East Tennessee St.Northern IowaLibertyYale
13Stephen F. AustinVermontNorth TexasBelmont
14UC IrvineWright St.New Mexico St.Colgate
15Bowling GreenHofstraSouth Daktota St.E. Washington
16Ark. Little RockSienaRadfordSt. Francis (PA)Prairie View A&MNC A&T


How it's Done:

  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • Re-evaluation of 5-11 by Team Sheets.
  • Bubble consideration for teams with a NET ranking above 65.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Balance the bracket on the "point system" assigned to 1-4.
  • Place remaining teams by top-left, top-right, bottom-left, bottom-right, then snake.
  • Re-assign teams to other regions if a rematch would occur.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.

Opinion:

  • First Four Out: Arkansas, Providence, NC State, UCLA