2020 Bracket Preview | 1st Projection



True Seeds





Seed List (Text)



1. Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga, San Diego St.



2. Duke, Dayton, Louisville, West Virginia


3. Maryland, Florida St., Seton Hall, Villanova

4. Auburn, Oregon, Butler, Michigan St.

5. Penn St., Kentucky, Arizona, Creighton

6. Colorado, LSU, Iowa, Ohio St.

7. BYU, Illinois, Houston, Marquette

8. Texas Tech, Rutgers, Stanford, Saint Mary's

9. Michigan, Arkansas, Wisconsin, Rhode Island

10. Northern Iowa, Purdue, Florida, Mississippi St.

11. Wichita St., Cincinnati, USC, Xavier, Indiana, Memphis

12. VCU, East Tennessee St., Liberty, Stephen F. Austin

13. Wright St., Vermont, North Texas, Winthrop

14. New Mexico St., Colgate, UC Irvine, Charleston

15. South Dakota St., Arkansas Little Rock, Bowling Green, Murray St.

16. Montana, Princeton, Monmouth, Robert Morris, Texas Southern, North Carolina A&T



HOW IT'S DONE:


  • Not very well.
  • Copy/Paste 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Fill 5-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of AP, NET, KenPom, and Sagarin.
  • Sort 5-16 by Team Sheets.
  • Balance 5-16 to avoid multiple teams from one conference on a seed line.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.

NOTES:

OPINION:
  • Bubble should favor teams avoiding Q3/Q4 losses.