2020 Projection #2
True Seeds:
Seed List:
Seed | Team1 | Team2 | Team3 | Team4 | Team5 | Team6 |
1 | Baylor | Kansas | Gonzaga | San Diego St. | | |
2 | Duke | Dayton | Louisville | Maryland | | |
3 | West Virginia | Florida St. | Seton Hall | Auburn | | |
4 | Villanova | Penn St. | Oregon | Butler | | |
5 | Michigan St. | Kentucky | Creighton | Colorado | | |
6 | Arizona | LSU | Iowa | Ohio St. | | |
7 | BYU | Houston | Texas Tech | Marquette | | |
8 | Illinois | Rutgers | Michigan | Saint Mary's | | |
9 | Wisconsin | Rhode Island | Arkansas | Northern Iowa | | |
10 | Purdue | Florida | Wichita St. | Oklahoma | | |
11 | Cincinnati | USC | Xavier | Virginia | Indiana | Arizona St. |
12 | Utah St. | East Tennessee St. | Stephen F. Austin | Yale | | |
13 | Akron | Vermont | North Texas | Wright St. | | |
14 | Winthrop | New Mexico St. | Colgate | UC Irvine | | |
15 | Hofstra | South Dakota St. | Montana | Ark. Little Rock | | |
16 | Austin Peay | North Florida | Robert Morris | Saint Peter's | Prairie View A&M | NC Central |
How it's Done:
- Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
- List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
- Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
- Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
- Fill 5-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of AP, NET, KenPom, and Sagarin.
- Sort 5-16 by Team Sheets.
- Balance 8-9 to avoid possible rematches.
- Adjust for Duke bias.
Opinion:
- Keep local teams away from Dayton!