2020 Projection #2




True Seeds:




Seed List:


SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DukeDaytonLouisvilleMaryland
3West VirginiaFlorida St.Seton HallAuburn
4VillanovaPenn St.OregonButler
5Michigan St.KentuckyCreightonColorado
6ArizonaLSUIowaOhio St.
7BYUHoustonTexas TechMarquette
8IllinoisRutgersMichiganSaint Mary's
9WisconsinRhode IslandArkansasNorthern Iowa
10PurdueFloridaWichita St.Oklahoma
11CincinnatiUSCXavierVirginiaIndianaArizona St.
12Utah St.East Tennessee St.Stephen F. AustinYale
13AkronVermontNorth TexasWright St.
14WinthropNew Mexico St.ColgateUC Irvine
15HofstraSouth Dakota St.MontanaArk. Little Rock
16Austin PeayNorth FloridaRobert MorrisSaint Peter'sPrairie View A&MNC Central



How it's Done:


  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Fill 5-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of AP, NET, KenPom, and Sagarin.
  • Sort 5-16 by Team Sheets.
  • Balance 8-9 to avoid possible rematches.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.


Opinion:

  • Keep local teams away from Dayton!