2020 Projection #4



Seed List:
SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DaytonDukeFlorida St.Maryland
3LouisvilleSeton HallKentuckyVillanova
4AuburnOregonCreightonPenn St.
5West VirginiaMichigan St.ColoradoButler
6IowaOhio St.HoustonArizona
7BYUMarquetteMichiganLSU
8Texas TechIllinoisWisconsinSaint Mary's
9FloridaRutgersWichita St.Arizona St.
10Rhode IslandXavierUtah St.Virginia
11USCIndianaRichmondCincinnatiOklahomaStanford
12East Tennessee St.Northern IowaLibertyYale
13Stephen F. AustinVermontNorth TexasBelmont
14UC IrvineWright St.New Mexico St.Colgate
15Bowling GreenHofstraSouth Daktota St.E. Washington
16Ark. Little RockSienaRadfordSt. Francis (PA)Prairie View A&MNC A&T


How it's Done:
  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • Re-evaluation of 5-11 by Team Sheets.
  • Bubble consideration for teams with a NET ranking above 65.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Balance the bracket on the "point system" assigned to 1-4.
  • Place remaining teams by top-left, top-right, bottom-left, bottom-right, then snake.
  • Re-assign teams to other regions if a rematch would occur.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.

Opinion:

  • First Four Out: Arkansas, Providence, NC State, UCLA
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2020 Projection #3




True Seeds:




Seed List:

SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DaytonDukeLouisvilleMaryland
3Florida St.Seton HallVillanovaAuburn
4KentuckyWest VirginiaPenn St.Oregon
5ButlerMichigan St.CreightonColorado
6IowaArizonaOhio St.Houston
7MarquetteLSUBYUMichigan
8IllinoisTexas TechSaint Mary'sWisconsin
9RutgersRhode IslandFloridaWichita St.
10XavierArizona St.PurdueUtah St.
11USCRichmondIndianaNC StateVirginiaGeorgetown
12East Tenn. St.Northern IowaStephen F. AustinLiberty
13YaleVermontAkronNorth Texas
14UC IrvineWright St.New Mexico St.Colgate
15WinthropHofstraSouth Dakota St.Montana
16Ark. Little RockAustin PeayRobert MorrisSaint Peter'sPrairie View A&MNorfolk St.



How it's Done:
  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • Re-evaluation of 5-12 by Team Sheets.
  • Bubble consideration for teams with a NET ranking above 65.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Balance the bracket on the "point system" assigned to 1-4.
  • Assign teams to other regions to avoid possible rematches.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.


Opinion:

  • First Four Out: Oklahoma, Cincinnati, Stanford, Arkansas
  • Committee will decide bubble by Road Wins.
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2020 Projection #2




True Seeds:




 Seed List:
SeedTeam1Team2Team3Team4Team5Team6
1BaylorKansasGonzagaSan Diego St.
2DukeDaytonLouisvilleMaryland
3West VirginiaFlorida St.Seton HallAuburn
4VillanovaPenn St.OregonButler
5Michigan St.KentuckyCreightonColorado
6ArizonaLSUIowaOhio St.
7BYUHoustonTexas TechMarquette
8IllinoisRutgersMichiganSaint Mary's
9WisconsinRhode IslandArkansasNorthern Iowa
10PurdueFloridaWichita St.Oklahoma
11CincinnatiUSCXavierVirginiaIndianaArizona St.
12Utah St.East Tennessee St.Stephen F. AustinYale
13AkronVermontNorth TexasWright St.
14WinthropNew Mexico St.ColgateUC Irvine
15HofstraSouth Dakota St.MontanaArk. Little Rock
16Austin PeayNorth FloridaRobert MorrisSaint Peter'sPrairie View A&MNC Central



 How it's Done:
  • Adjust 1-4 from the Bracket Preview.
  • List all current conference leaders and "select" them as the projected winners.
  • Referencing NET and KenPom, find the lowest ranked automatic bid and place at 68.
  • Work backwards to the last remaining 12 seed.
  • Fill 5-12 by some algorithm (in my head) of AP, NET, KenPom, and Sagarin.
  • Sort 5-16 by Team Sheets.
  • Balance 8-9 to avoid possible rematches.
  • Adjust for Duke bias.


Opinion:

  • Keep local teams away from Dayton!

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